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On July 3, 2025, the Inter-American Court of Human Rights (IACtHR) delivered a historic advisory…
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On July 3, 2025, the Inter-American Court of Human Rights (IACtHR) published its long-awaited Advisory…
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Welcome to Carbon Brief’s DeBriefed. An essential guide to the week’s key developments relating to climate…
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The delegation speaks in front of the Inter-American Court of Human Rights in Brazil. The…
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As countries across the world experience a resurgence in nuclear energy projects, the questions of…
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Rachel Kyte CMG was appointed the UK’s special representative for climate in October 2024. She…
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A solar power camera is the preferred choice for users who need uninterrupted performance and…
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On July 3, 2025, the Inter-American Court of Human Rights (IACtHR) issued Advisory Opinion AO-32/25,…
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We handpick and explain the most important stories at the intersection of climate, land, food…
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Large language models (LLMs) excel at using textual reasoning to understand the context of a…
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Imagine a future where artificial intelligence quietly shoulders the drudgery of software development: refactoring tangled…
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While there are many aspects of the Inter-American Court of Human Rights (IACtHR)’s Advisory Opinion…
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Most of the world’s top EV battery manufacturers have yet to set targets for both…
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Paul Cairns is CEO of UK-based marine energy firm Charge Offshore, which provides innovative offshore…
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Scots are generating less waste than ever before and sending less to landfill, according to…
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A new programme aims to identify, test and fix the most damaging sewage and road…
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MIT researchers have developed a new theoretical framework for studying the mechanisms of treatment interactions.…
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火山喷发对科学家及其气候模型构成了根本性挑战。 众所周知,剧烈的火山喷发会导致地表气温突然下降,多次喷发则会在几十年乃至几个世纪的时间尺度上影响气候变率。 当火山喷发将二氧化硫注入平流层时,会形成气溶胶,从而阻挡阳光到达地球表面。 与人类对气候变化的影响不同,后者发生缓慢且可以在各种社会经济情景下被纳入气候模型进行考量。火山喷发具有突发性,这给气候预测带来了挑战。 目前科学家尚无法预测火山喷发的发生时间、地点以及二氧化硫的排放量。 那么,在进行未来气候预测时,如何考虑火山喷发对气候的影响呢? 上微信关注《碳简报》 在我们最近发表于《通讯-地球与环境》(Communications Earth & Environment)的研究中,我们表明火山喷发对全球气温预测的不确定性产生了重大影响。 我们的研究结果发现,如果将偶发的火山喷发纳入气候预测,突破《巴黎协定》所设定的1.5C升温上限的时间会略有延迟,但与此同时,未来几十年也将出现更多快速升温和降温的时期。 气候预测中的火山强迫 气候科学家将火山喷发对气候的影响——主要是通过释放出二氧化硫气体进入大气——称为“火山强迫”(volcanic forcing)。…